It was a Tuesday. The ASX had gapped up on overnight futures, momentum looked clean, and I was already mentally spending the profits before I'd placed the order. No written plan. No defined exit. Just a feeling — which, in fifteen years of trading, I should have known is worth precisely nothing.
The entry logic was loose at best: price had bounced off a level I'd drawn three weeks earlier and half-forgotten. I told myself the trend was intact. What I hadn't done was define what "wrong" looked like. No stop loss level written down. No position size calculated. I was improvising in real time, which is just gambling with extra steps.
The trade moved against me within forty minutes. Here's where it gets instructive: I didn't cut it. I adjusted my mental stop downward — twice — because I "believed in the setup." That phrase should trigger an alarm. Belief belongs in church, not in a trade you haven't defined. By the time I closed it, the loss was three times what any sensible risk rule would have allowed.
The root cause wasn't greed. It was the absence of one specific decision made in advance: where does this trade become wrong? That single omission meant every subsequent choice was reactive and emotional. Traders who study how a trading plan functions understand it forces that decision before adrenaline clouds it. The mechanics of risk management in trading only work when the numbers are committed to paper beforehand, not improvised mid-loss. The psychology behind why we abandon rules under pressure is well-documented in behavioural economics — and it confirms that discipline is a system, not a personality trait.
The rule I extracted: no entry without a written exit. Not a mental note. Written. If it's not on paper, it doesn't exist.
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